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Timeform Expert View: Breeders' Cup 5o7141

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Timeform's US Form Expert Mark Milligan and UK Handicapper Matt Gardner run through their best bets for the 2020 Breeders' Cup at Keeneland.

 

US Handicapper Mark Milligan 3q4r27

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies

There’s no doubt that GIRL DADDY needs to improve a little on the form she’s already shown, but as a lightly-raced $500k daughter of top dirt sire Uncle Mo, there’s every chance she’ll do just that. Unbeaten in both starts to date, including in Grade 3 company last time, Dale Roman’s filly looks open to plenty more improvement.

Likely favourite Princess Noor has been impressive in winning all three starts to date, but she’s yet to record a decent timefigure, and there’s a chance she may not quite as good as those races make her seem. Dayoutoftheoffice is another that looks sure to be in the mix, but she may not be open to quite as much progression as Girl Daddy.

 

Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint

An inside draw and early speed could prove to be crucial in this year’s Turf Sprint and BIG RUNNUER ticks both of those boxes. Victor Garcia’s sprinter proved better than ever when leading from start to finish in the Grade 2 Eddie D Stakes at Santa Anita last time, coming home a length clear of Wildman Jack.

Big Runneur was completing the hat-trick there having previously taken an optional claimer and a minor stakes contest at the same track earlier in the year. The addition of headgear seems to have elevated the son of Stormy Atlantic to a new level form-wise and he can see off the closers from the front.

 

Breeders' Cup Sprint

The lightly-raced YAUPON has answered every question posed of him in his short career to date and he can remain unbeaten by taking out the Breeders’ Cup Sprint. Having won on debut at Churchill Downs in June, Yaupon has quickly established himself as one of the best sprinters in the US, going to win an optional claimer and Grade 2 at Saratoga, before impressively taking care of Grade 3 opposition at Pimlico last time.

With ante-post favourite Vekoma out of the race, Yaupon’s task has been that bit easier, and it will be disappointing if he can’t make the breakthrough at the top level on his first attempt. There’s not a lot to choose between the opposition, and it may be the filly Frank’s Rockette who follows him home.

 

UK Handicapper Matt Gardner 496w2z

Filly And Mare Turf

It’s strange to say about a horse not far off turning five, but I’m not sure we’ve seen the very best of TEREBELLUM yet. She was unraced as a juvenile but progressed well last year, winning a Group 2 in , but has taken her form to another level this season, finishing an excellent second to Circus Maximus in the Queen Anne.

She didn’t seem ideally suited by making her own running in the Falmouth and shaped as if better for the run (off 3 months) in the Sun Chariot last time, leaving the impression that she’ll be spot on for this assignment. The step back up in trip ought to hold no fears for her, and she looks overpriced.

 

Breeders' Cup Mile

It’s possible to pick holes in most of the market leaders in the Mile, tempting therefore to have a stab at one at a big price. The one I’ve fallen down on is LOPE Y FERNANDEZ, who has seemingly always been held in quite high regard by connections and looks well worth another try at this trip.

He’s justified some of that reputation this year, finishing second to Pinatubo and third to Space Blues in a couple of French Group 1s. The drop back to sprinting hasn’t paid off the last twice but he’s not one to give up on just yet, with his sharp turn of foot likely to serve him well here. He’ll likely be dropped out and ridden for a late burst, worth playing in both the win and place markets.

 

Breeders' Cup Turf

After his Prince Of Wales’s win I would not have believed that LORD NORTH would be a bigger price than the likes Of Tarnawa and Mogul for this race. Yes things haven’t gone to plan since, unable to live with Ghaiyyath in the Juddmonte International and one of several John Gosden-trained horses to flop on Champions day at Ascot, but he has all the tools to excel in this environment and is worth another chance.

He was really impressive in that win at Royal Ascot, showing his trademark sharp turn of foot to readily beat subsequent Champion Stakes winner Addeybb by almost four lengths. Magical is a worth adversary but the market ought to be a lot tighter than it is, and he’s fancied to run a big race.

 

Mark Milligan's selections: 2n6w30

Girl Daddy – Juvenile Fillies

Big Runnuer – Turf Sprint

Yaupon - Sprint

 

Matt Gardner's selections: 3a14i

Terebellum – Filly And Mare Turf

Lope Y Fernandez – Mile

Lord North – Turf

 
 

 

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Free Daily Race (Result) 234d6o

WINDSOR 19:15 3t494g

Monday 02 June
1. SO DARN HOT 1st
Jack Mitchell silk Jack Mitchell
Kevin Philippart de Foy
2. STRONG WARRIOR 2nd
Richard Kingscote silk Richard Kingscote
Richard Fahey
3. KING OF BEARS (IRE) 3rd
Callum Shepherd silk Callum Shepherd
George Scott
Go to full race

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS 6g3p2x

21:00 WETHERBY 1z4dp

1st Billy Garritty silk 2. ATOMIC MASS (IRE) 5/23.5f
2nd Connor Beasley silk ¾ 5. NOVAMAY 9/25.5
3rd Jason Hart silk 1. BEERWAH (IRE) 11/26.5
All 8 ran.
FULL RESULT

20:45 WINDSOR 543s4c

1st Charles Bishop silk 6. WALSON'S LAW 20/121
2nd Rob Hornby silk 5. NEWFANGLED (IRE) 11/82.37f
All 7 ran.
FULL RESULT

20:30 WETHERBY 4v3g6s

1st Pat Cosgrave silk 2. BRASIL POWER (FR) 22/123
2nd David Allan silk ½ 4. CANDONOMORE (FR) 9/25.5
J: Pat Cosgrave  
7 ran. NRs: 7  9 
FULL RESULT

20:15 WINDSOR sk1k

1st Luke Morris silk 3. TROJAN TRUTH 6/17
2nd Kieran O'Neill silk ½ 2. JIMMY MARK (IRE) 5/23.5f
3rd Daniel Muscutt silk ¾ 6. STINTINO SUNSET 11/26.5
J: Luke Morris  
T: Ed de Giles  
All 11 ran.
FULL RESULT

20:00 WETHERBY 426r4g

1st James Sullivan silk 5. SOUTH SHORE 17/29.5
2nd Alistair Rawlinson silk nk 9. PAPA DON'T PREACH (IRE) 9/25.5
T: Ruth Carr  
7 ran. NRs: 10  7  8 
FULL RESULT

19:45 WINDSOR 6l3r6k

1st Robert Havlin silk 2. WESTRIDGE (FR) 9/43.25
2nd Alec Voikhansky silk 3. MORCAR 9/25.5
All 5 ran.
FULL RESULT

19:30 WETHERBY 414139

1st Paul Mulrennan silk 4. BETTY BASSETT (IRE) 7/18
2nd William Pyle silk hd 11. QUIRKE ON PAROLE 3/14jf
3rd Connor Beasley silk nk 5. HOMELAND 7/18
T: Ian Williams  
10 ran. NRs: 6 
FULL RESULT

19:15 WINDSOR 216v47

1st Jack Mitchell silk 1. SO DARN HOT 4/15
2nd Richard Kingscote silk 2. STRONG WARRIOR 9/43.25f
3rd Callum Shepherd silk 3. KING OF BEARS (IRE) 22/123
9 ran. NRs: 9 
FULL RESULT

19:00 WETHERBY 5a3q51

1st Callum Rodriguez silk 8. LADY MARIKO 85/403.12f
2nd Jason Hart silk nk 1. KRISTAL KLEAR (IRE) 16/117
3rd P. J. McDonald silk sh 6. CLASINA 9/25.5
T: Dylan Cunha  
11 ran. NRs: 10  2 
FULL RESULT
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